1. Joint Modeling
1.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 4000000 iteration;
- 3000000 burn-in;
- 1000 thinning.
1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 0.999 0.999
## LDevsum 1.001 1.006
## dh0 1.010 1.039
## dh1 1.004 1.022
## dh2 1.000 1.003
## dl0 1.006 1.030
## dl1 1.007 1.037
## dl2 1.000 1.000
## dl3 1.000 1.000
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.01
1.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
1.4 WAIC results
| LevelH | LevelL | |
|---|---|---|
| DIC | 1243.8819 | 22461.890 |
| DIC3 | 1166.9053 | 22519.323 |
| PWAIC | 48.7286 | 261.944 |
| WAIC | 1198.8469 | 22543.623 |
2. Separate Modeling of High-Level
2.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 4000000 iteration;
- 3000000 burn-in;
- 1000 thinning.
2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.01 1.05
## dh0 1.02 1.09
## dh1 1.01 1.05
## dh2 1.00 1.00
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.02
2.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
2.4 WAIC results
| H2 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 1363.64016 |
| DIC3 | 1238.79521 |
| PWAIC | 88.22948 |
| WAIC | 1306.93985 |
3. Separate Modeling for Low-level
3.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 4000000 iteration;
- 3000000 burn-in;
- 1000 thinning.
3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum 1.01 1.04
## dl0 1.05 1.20
## dl1 1.02 1.07
## dl2 1.04 1.18
## dl3 1.00 1.02
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.03
3.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
3.4 WAIC results
| L7a | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 22319.6708 |
| DIC3 | 22314.6355 |
| PWAIC | 314.5328 |
| WAIC | 22350.5211 |