Report for Model 15

— for both jointly and separately

2024-11-08

1. Joint Modeling

1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum      0.999      0.999
## LDevsum      1.001      1.006
## dh0          1.010      1.039
## dh1          1.004      1.022
## dh2          1.000      1.003
## dl0          1.006      1.030
## dl1          1.007      1.037
## dl2          1.000      1.000
## dl3          1.000      1.000
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.01

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

LevelH LevelL
DIC 1243.8819 22461.890
DIC3 1166.9053 22519.323
PWAIC 48.7286 261.944
WAIC 1198.8469 22543.623

2. Separate Modeling of High-Level

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.01       1.05
## dh0           1.02       1.09
## dh1           1.01       1.05
## dh2           1.00       1.00
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.02

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

H2
DIC 1363.64016
DIC3 1238.79521
PWAIC 88.22948
WAIC 1306.93985

3. Separate Modeling for Low-level

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum       1.01       1.04
## dl0           1.05       1.20
## dl1           1.02       1.07
## dl2           1.04       1.18
## dl3           1.00       1.02
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.03

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results

L7a
DIC 22319.6708
DIC3 22314.6355
PWAIC 314.5328
WAIC 22350.5211